Breaking down the precursor awards — both nominations and winners — as well as the top Oscar nominations by categories gives us 35 key races that will determine the strongest contenders. Last year’s Best Picture champ, “Spotlight,” went into Oscar night with checkmarks in 21 boxes while its two closest rivals, “The Revenant” and “The Big Short,” outpaced it with 23 and 22 ticks respectively.
Find below the movies scoring table based on awards
With this week’s announcement of the Oscar nominations as well as the winners of the PGA Awards and ACE Eddie Awards, we are now up to 27 of the 35 boxes being in play (as detailed below and indicated by italics). The clear favorite remains “La La Land,” which has ticks in a staggering 26 boxes thanks to nominations in all the key Oscar categories and wins with both the producers and film editors (to date, its only missed out on a SAG nomination for Best Film Ensemble).
The only other film to earn bids across all the top Oscar races was “Moonlight,” which now has 20 boxes ticked. Also sitting at 20 is “Manchester by the Sea,” which missed out on that crucial Best Film Editing nomination. While “Arrival” won the drama prize for cutting at the ACE Eddies, star Amy Adams was snubbed by the academy; it now has 16 checkmarks. And both “Hacksaw Ridge” and “Hell or High Water” continue to do better than originally expected, with 13 boxes filled in to date.
La La Land at the top of awards?
1) Critics Choice, Best Picture – NOMINATION
2) Critics Choice, Best Picture – WIN
3) Golden Globe, Best Picture (Comedy/Musical or Drama) – NOMINATION
4) Golden Globe, Best Picture (Comedy/Musical or Drama) – WIN
5) Golden Globe, Directing – NOMINATION
6) Golden Globe, Directing – WIN
7) Golden Globe, Acting (Any category) – NOMINATION
8) Golden Globe, Acting (Any category) – WIN
9) Golden Globe, Writing – NOMINATION
10) Golden Globe, Writing – WIN
11) BAFTA, Best Picture – NOMINATION
12) BAFTA, Best Picture – WIN
13) BAFTA, Directing – NOMINATION
14) BAFTA, Directing – WIN
15) BAFTA, Acting – NOMINATION
16) BAFTA, Acting – WIN
17) BAFTA, Writing – NOMINATION
18) BAFTA, Writing – WIN
19) SAG, Individual Performance – NOMINATION
20) SAG, Individual Performance – WIN
21) SAG, Ensemble Performance- NOMINATION
22) SAG, Ensemble Performance- WIN
23) PGA – NOMINATION
24) PGA – WIN
25) DGA – NOMINATION
26) DGA – WIN
27) WGA – NOMINATION
28) WGA – WIN
29) ACE – NOMINATION
30) ACE – WIN
31) Oscar, Directing – NOMINATION
32) Oscar, Acting – NOMINATION
33) Oscar, Writing – NOMINATION
34) Oscar, Film Editing – NOMINATION
35) Love Across the Board (Over 5 Oscar nominations)
Be sure to make your Oscar predictions. Weigh in now with your picks so that Hollywood insiders can see how their films are faring in our Oscar odds. You can keep changing your predictions right up until just before winners are announced on February 26 at 5:00 pm PT/8:00 pm ET. And join in the fierce debate over the Oscars taking place right now with Hollywood insiders in our forums.